Showing posts with label First Solar. Show all posts
Showing posts with label First Solar. Show all posts

Tuesday, July 26, 2011

First Solar (NASDAQ: FSLR): Q2 Earnings Preview 2011

First Solar Inc. (NASDAQ: FSLR) is scheduled to release its second-quarter earnings after the closing bell on Tuesday, July 26, 2011. Analysts, on average, expect the company to report earnings of 92 cents a share on revenue of $584.05 million. In the year ago period, the company reported earnings of $1.84 per share on revenue of $587.85 million.

First Solar Inc. engages in the design, manufacture, and sale of solar electric power modules using a proprietary thin film semiconductor technology. The company's solar modules employ a thin layer of cadmium telluride semiconductor material to convert sunlight into electricity. First Solar has the lowest production costs in the industry for its thin film cadmium telluride panels.

First Solar continues its focus on cost reduction with the management taking several steps to further reduce costs over the years to come.
The average manufacturing cost per watt for First Solar modules has declined steadily from $1.47 in 2005 to $0.75 in 2010. This can be primarily attributed to economies of scale and improvements in the firm?s technology and manufacturing process over the last several years.

The company has also focused on expanding manufacturing capacity in low cost manufacturing locations – with a huge chunk of production operations in Malaysia and Thailand. These continuing efforts have led to the management estimating per watt manufacturing costs between $0.52 and $0.63 by 2014 – making the company’s solar modules cost-effective enough to take non-renewable sources of energy like coal and natural gas head-on.

In the preceding first-quarter, the Tempe, Arizona-based company's net income was $116.0 million, or $1.33 per share, compared to $172.3 million, or $2.00 per share, in the year-earlier quarter. Revenue declined to $567.29 million from $567.96 million in the same quarter last year. Analysts, on average, expected the company to report earnings of $1.16 a share on revenue of $544.37 million.

At its last earnings call in May, the company said it continues to expect full year 2011 earnings of $9.25 to $9.75 per share on net sales of $3.7 billion to $3.8 billion. "Despite European market uncertainties, First Solar has good visibility into our demand for 2011," said Rob Gillette, CEO of First Solar. "We continue to execute our cost roadmaps, invest in new module capacity, build our project pipeline and develop promising new markets around the world."

Solar companies have sought to position themselves for market share gains outside of Europe, the world's primary solar-power market, after governments there have cut subsidies that have supported the sector over the past decade. Installations are expected to rise in the U.S., Canada and other markets, although Europe will continue to account for the majority of global photovoltaic installations this year.

Going forward, the company will be ramping up its production capacity to further lower its cost of production through economies of scale. At the end of the third quarter of 2010, the company operated with an annualized global manufacturing capacity of approximately 1.4 GW. The company expects to increase its manufacturing capacity to 46 production lines by the end of 2012, with an annualized manufacturing capacity of more than 2.7 GW.

First Solar, which makes thin-film solar panels that are cheaper to make but convert less sunlight into electricity than traditional silicon solar panels, was the world's top solar-panel supplier last year. While the company remains a top supplier, it faces increasing competition from low-cost Chinese solar-panel makers that are also expanding production to meet growing global demand.

First Solar remains focused on Europe, where the majority of demand is, as well as the U.S. and Canada, where the company has about 2,000 megawatts of large solar farms in various stages of development. The company is also rapidly expanding in emerging markets like China and India, that have a lot of potential, but where demand isn't yet as strong as it is in Europe.

2010 continued the significant growth of the solar market throughout the country with new markets in China and the USA advancing their demand for solar panels. Solar industry as a whole has benefited from continued strong demand thanks to growing awareness about global warming, skyrocketing oil prices, cheap financing and technological advances. Companies involved in the production of semiconductors used in solar panels have enjoyed a positive quarter. Many have experienced rising shipments over the last few quarters, resulting in a sequence of record quarters. The world is becoming increasingly environmentally conscious. Both commercial and private demand for solar power is rising. Solar options are becoming more attractive as more governments provide better options for buildings producing solar power to feed into and out of the grid as required. Meanwhile, US President Barack Obama has called for 80 percent of the nation's electricity to come from clean sources by 2035.

China aims to install 2 gigawatts (GW) of solar energy by 2011 and 20 GW by 2020. As part of this effort the government has taken several measures to incentivize developers and consumers to adopt solar technology. These incentives include the solar PV building program, Golden Sunshine program and PV utility project tenders. A Feed-in-Tariff (FiT) policy is also expected to be announced soon.

In India, the government has set aside land in areas where solar radiation is easily available to foster solar energy growth, and has announced a 30% subsidy to all homeowners who install solar panels on their rooftops. The country aims at installing 20 GW of solar capacity by 2022.

Following Fukushima’s nuclear disaster, Germany decided to go offline with 8 out of its 17 nuclear reactors and phase out the remaining by 2022. We believe this step will boost demand for renewable sources of energy with solar taking the lead. First Solar, being the largest solar modules provider to Germany, will benefit the most.

However, the governments of European countries are cutting back subsidies on solar energy and this could impact First Solar’s sales. This situation could be further aggravated by declining solar component prices in these regions by changes in the FiT structure. Lower demand would result in more inventories thereby pushing solar component prices further and impacting the company’s profitability.

Among other developments, the US government approved nearly $4.5 billion in conditional commitments for loan guarantees for three of the company's projects.

Full Disclosure: None.

Monday, May 2, 2011

First Solar (NASDAQ: FSLR): Q1 Earnings Preview 2011


First Solar Inc. (NASDAQ: FSLR), the world's largest maker of thin-film solar-power modules, is scheduled to release its first quarter earnings after the closing bell on Tuesday, May 3, 2010. Analysts, on average, expect the company to report earnings of $1.16 a share on revenue of $544.37 million. In the year ago period, the company reported earnings of $2 per share on revenue of $567.96 million.

First Solar Inc. engages in the design, manufacture, and sale of solar electric power modules using a proprietary thin film semiconductor technology. The company's solar modules employ a thin layer of cadmium telluride semiconductor material to convert sunlight into electricity. First Solar has the lowest production costs in the industry for its thin film cadmium telluride panels.

In the preceding fourth-quarter, the Tempe, Arizona-based company's net income was  $156.0 million or $1.80 per share, compared to $141.6 million or $1.65 per share, in the year-earlier quarter. Revenue declined to $610 million from $641 million in the same quarter of 2009. Analysts, on average, expected the company to report earnings of $1.76 a share on revenue of $647.37 million.

At its last earnings call in February, the company raised its earnings outlook for fiscal year 2011, while lowering the upper-end of its sales forecast.  First Solar now expects earnings of $9.25 to $9.75 per share, and net sales of $3.7 billion to $3.8 billion. , Previously, the company expected earnings of $8.75 to $9.50 per share, and net sales of $3.7 billion to $3.9 billion.

Solar companies have sought to position themselves for market share gains outside of Europe, the world's primary solar-power market, after governments there have cut subsidies that have supported the sector over the past decade. Installations are expected to rise in the U.S., Canada and other markets, although Europe will continue to account for the majority of global photovoltaic installations this year.

Going forward, the company will be ramping up its production capacity to further lower its cost of production through economies of scale. At the end of the third quarter of 2010, the company operated with an annualized global manufacturing capacity of approximately 1.4 GW. The company expects to increase its manufacturing capacity to 46 production lines by the end of 2012, with an annualized manufacturing capacity of more than 2.7 GW.

First Solar, which makes thin-film solar panels that are cheaper to make but convert less sunlight into electricity than traditional silicon solar panels, was the world's top solar-panel supplier last year. While the company remains a top supplier, it faces increasing competition from low-cost Chinese solar-panel makers that are also expanding production to meet growing global demand.

First Solar remains focused on Europe, where the majority of demand is, as well as the U.S. and Canada, where the company has about 2,000 megawatts of large solar farms in various stages of development. The company is also rapidly expanding in emerging markets like China and India, that have a lot of potential, but where demand isn't yet as strong as it is in Europe.

2010 continued the significant growth of the solar market throughout the country with new markets in China and the USA advancing their demand for solar panels. Solar industry as a whole has benefited from continued strong demand thanks to growing awareness about global warming, skyrocketing oil prices, cheap financing and technological advances. Companies involved in the production of semiconductors used in solar panels have enjoyed a positive quarter. Many have experienced rising shipments over the last few quarters, resulting in a sequence of record quarters. The world is becoming increasingly environmentally conscious. Both commercial and private demand for solar power is rising. Solar options are becoming more attractive as more governments provide better options for buildings producing solar power to feed into and out of the grid as required. Meanwhile, US President Barack Obama has called for 80 percent of the nation's electricity to come from clean sources by 2035.

Meanwhile, the largest market for solar, Germany, is slated for a significant decline in 2011. Hinging on the volume of new solar power capacity additions, the government may cut incentives by almost 12%, effective July 2011. However, if installations exceed 7.5 gigawatts, subsidy cuts may reach almost 15%.

First Solar said recently that it plans to build a $300 million manufacturing center in Arizona that would roughly double the solar-panel maker's U.S. production capacity. The company said the facility, when functioning at capacity, could produce more than 250 megawatts of advanced thin-film photovoltaic modules a year.

Among other developments, First Solar Inc. said recently that Bruce Sohn, its president of operations, will leave at the end of the month. Sohn will not be replaced, and First Solar didn't specify why he was leaving.

The company's stock currently trades at a forward P/E (fye Dec 31, 2012) of 12.79 and PEG ratio (5 yr expected) of 0.67. In terms of stock performance, First Solar shares have lost nearly 8 percent over the past year.

Full Disclosure: None.

Tuesday, February 15, 2011

First Solar (NASDAQ: FSLR): Q4 Earnings Preview 2010


First Solar Inc. (NASDAQ: FSLR), the world's largest maker of thin-film solar-power modules, is scheduled to release its fourth quarter earnings after the closing bell on Thursday, February 24, 2010. Analysts, on average, expect the company to report earnings of $1.76 a share on revenue of $647.37 million. In the year ago period, the company reported earnings of $1.65 per share on revenue of $641.26 million.

First Solar Inc. engages in the design, manufacture, and sale of solar electric power modules using a proprietary thin film semiconductor technology. The company's solar modules employ a thin layer of cadmium telluride semiconductor material to convert sunlight into electricity. First Solar has the lowest production costs in the industry for its thin film cadmium telluride panels.

In the preceding third quarter, the Tempe, Arizona-based company's net income was $177 million, compared with a profit of $2.04 a share, from $153 million, or $1.79 a share, in the year-earlier quarter. Revenue surged 66% to $798 million. Analysts, on average, expected the company to report earnings of $1.94 per share on revenue of $778.20 million.

At its last earnings call in October, the company boosted its fiscal 2010 guidance. The company said that it expects full year 2010 earnings per share of $7.50 to $7.65, up from the previous guidance range of $7.00 to $7.40. First Solar anticipates net sales of $2.58 to $2.61 billion, up from the previous guidance range of $2.5 to 2.6 billion. The company said it expects 2010 gross margin of 44% to 45%.

In 2011, First Solar forecasts net sales in the range of $3.7 to $3.9 billion, up about 46% year over year compared to the midpoint of 2010 guidance provided on October 28, 2010. The net sales forecast is comprised of $2.8 to $2.9 billion of module sales and $0.9 to $1.0 billion of EPC/project development sales. EPS is forecasted to grow to between $8.75 to $9.50 per fully diluted share and consolidated operating income is $875 to $975 million. These forecasts include $80 - $85 million of manufacturing start-up expenses and $15-20 million of factory ramp costs associated with plant expansions. The company plans to invest $1.0 to $1.1 billion of capital to nearly double production capacity by year-end 2012, to maintain existing capacity and to add infrastructure to support growth. First Solar expects to generate $1.0 - $1.1 billion of operating cash flow during 2011.

Going forward, the company will be ramping up its production capacity to further lower its cost of production through economies of scale. At the end of the third quarter of 2010, the company operated with an annualized global manufacturing capacity of approximately 1.4 GW. The company expects to increase its manufacturing capacity to 46 production lines by the end of 2012, with an annualized manufacturing capacity of more than 2.7 GW.

First Solar, which makes thin-film solar panels that are cheaper to make but convert less sunlight into electricity than traditional silicon solar panels, was the world's top solar-panel supplier last year. While the company remains a top supplier, it faces increasing competition from low-cost Chinese solar-panel makers that are also expanding production to meet growing global demand.

First Solar remains focused on Europe, where the majority of demand is, as well as the U.S. and Canada, where the company has about 2,000 megawatts of large solar farms in various stages of development. The company is also rapidly expanding in emerging markets like China and India, that have a lot of potential, but where demand isn't yet as strong as it is in Europe.

2010 continued the significant growth of the solar market throughout the country with new markets in China and the USA advancing their demand for solar panels. Solar industry as a whole has benefited from continued strong demand thanks to growing awareness about global warming, skyrocketing oil prices, cheap financing and technological advances. Companies involved in the production of semiconductors used in solar panels have enjoyed a positive quarter. Many have experienced rising shipments over the last few quarters, resulting in a sequence of record quarters. The world is becoming increasingly environmentally conscious. Both commercial and private demand for solar power is rising. Solar options are becoming more attractive as more governments provide better options for buildings producing solar power to feed into and out of the grid as required.

Last month, US President Barack Obama in his State of the Union address called for 80 percent of the nation's electricity to come from clean sources by 2035. Meanwhile, Senator Bernie Sanders submitted a bill to congress titled the "10 Million Solar Roofs and 10 Million Gallons of Solar Hot Water Act". This bill is expected to spur alternative energy growth and create green jobs.

Meanwhile, the largest market for solar, Germany, is slated for a significant decline in 2011. German government officials and industry groups are reaching an agreement over solar-power subsidy cuts for 2011. Hinging on the volume of new solar power capacity additions, the government may cut incentives by almost 12%, effective July 2011. However, if installations exceed 7.5 gigawatts, subsidy cuts may reach almost 15%.

During the quarter in review, First Solar acquired RayTracker, Inc., a tracking technology and photovoltaic or PV balance-of-systems firm that is an operating company of Idealab, a creator and operator of technology companies.

Full Disclosure: None.

Monday, February 15, 2010

First Solar Inc. (NASDAQ: FSLR): Q4 Earnings Preview 2009

First Solar Inc. (NASDAQ: FSLR), the world's largest maker of thin-film solar-power modules, is scheduled to release its fiscal fourth-quarter 2009 financial results after the closing bell on Thursday, February 18, 2010. Analysts, on average, expect the company to report earnings of $1.50 a share on revenue of $579.72 billion. In the year ago period, the company posted earnings of 93 cents per share on revenue of $433.65 million.

First Solar Inc. engages in the design, manufacture, and sale of solar electric power modules using a proprietary thin film semiconductor technology. The company's solar modules employ a thin layer of cadmium telluride semiconductor material to convert sunlight into electricity. First Solar has the lowest production costs in the industry for its thin film cadmium telluride panels. The company broke $1 per watt in 2008 and reached 85 cents per watt in 2009.

In the preceding third quarter, the Tempe, Arizona-based company reported that net income surged to $153.34 million or $1.79 per share, from $99.27 million or $1.20 per share, in the prior-year period. Quarterly revenue rose to $480.85 million from $348.69 million. Analysts, on average, expected the company to report earnings of $1.74 per share on revenue of $528.78 million quarter.

In December, the solar module maker said that it expects fiscal year 2010 earnings to be in the range of $6.05 to $6.85 per share. Sales for the fiscal year 2010 are projected to be in the range of $2.7 billion to $2.9 billion. The company anticipates consolidated gross margins for fiscal year 2010 to be 38% with operating margins of 23% to 24%, influenced by a mix shift to the systems business, which includes $0.6 billion to 0.8 billion of EPC/project development.

First Solar plans to invest about $365 million capital to add two production plants, consisting of four manufacturing lines each. The expansion is expected to increase First Solar's annual capacity by 424 megawatts, assuming the third quarter 2009 reported annual line run rate of 53 MW. In addition to the Malaysian expansion project and the previously announced two-line factory in France, First Solar expects to add 10 production lines during 2010 and 2011, increasing capacity by over 48% from current levels, bringing its annual or announced production capacity to about 1.8GW based on current production levels.

Total capital spending is projected to range from $500 million to $550 million, including the Malaysian expansion. As a result, the company expects to generate $730 million to $790 million of operating cash flow and $180 million to $290 million of free cash flow.

Last year, solar industry suffered heavily as turmoil in the credit market forced financial players to abandon U.S. solar energy projects. The 2008 collapse of top solar financier Lehman Brothers and the freeze-up in the global credit markets drove nearly all banks to halt funding for major new solar projects, forcing the makers of systems that turn sunlight into electricity to cut prices for their products and sending their stocks crashing. The problems of solar companies had been further compounded by an oversupply of polysilicon, a material used in solar panels. Moreover heightened competition from Chinese solar companies too has impacted the US solar industry.

However, the industry as a whole is likely to benefit from growing attention to global warming, skyrocketing oil prices, cheap financing and technological advances. At the Copenhagen Summit held in December 2009, the five major polluters of the world agreed to take action to reduce CO2 aggressively, with $100B per year pledged to help developing nations adopt green energy technology to cut greenhouse gas. Meanwhile, the US, China, Brazil and India continue to invest heavily in wind and solar energy with China's $454B in the next 5 year period as the most aggressive one. As part of the stimulus bill signed last year, the federal government approved around $60 billion in loan guarantee authority and $30 billion in energy grants for renewable energy and transmission companies. Congress has also granted a 30% renewable-investment tax credit to help expand the development of alternative sources of energy. First Solar anticipates the overall global demand for solar energy equipment to reach 7.5 gigawatts in 2010.

In the near term, the solar industry is facing an important challenge in the form of reduced government subsidies. Globally, solar industry depends upon government subsidies and incentives and support to remain competitive. However, recent developments suggest that subsidies will inevitably be reduced or phased out. According to media reports, the German government is lanning to cut solar subsidies for new roof and open-field sites from April by 16 percent to 17 percent. Additional cuts to the subsidies will be made from 2011 if solar projects amount to more than 3,000 megawatts, and even more if they total more than 3,500 megawatts. Already, France in January slashed the tariffs for electricity produced from rooftop solar panels by 24 percent. Spain too has taken similar steps. Most solar panel maker generate the bulk of their revenue from Europe. It is worthwhile to mention that First Solar generated 60-70% of its sales in Germany last year.

The company's stock currently trades at a forward P/E (fye 27-Dec-10) of 18.01 and PEG Ratio (5 yr expected) of 0.54. In terms of stock performance, First Solar shares have lost 22 percent over the past year.

Full Disclosure: None.

Related Earnings Preview

1.) Trina Solar Ltd. (NYSE: TSL): Q4 Earnings Preview 2009

Monday, October 19, 2009

First Solar Inc. (NASDAQ: FSLR): Third Quarter Earnings Preview 2009

First Solar Inc. (NASDAQ: FSLR) is scheduled to report third-quarter financial results on Wednesday, October 28, 2009. Analysts, on average, currently expect the company to report earnings of $1.70 a share on revenue of $525 million. In the year ago quarter, the company reported earnings of $1.20 per share on revenue of $349 million.

First Solar, Inc. engages in the design, manufacture, and sale of solar electric power modules using a proprietary thin film semiconductor technology.

The Tempe, Arizona-based company's net income for the second quarter surged to $180.60 million or $2.11 per share from $69.70 million or $0.85 per share in the prior-year quarter. Revenue at the solar-power-modules manufacturer almost doubled to $525.9 million. Analysts, on average, expected the company to earn $1.62 per share on revenue of of $459.12 million. Efficiency was 10.9% on average, that is up slightly over the prior quarter. The company's annualized capacity per line increased to 51.7 megawatts, up 5% quarter over quarter. Operationally, production was 290 megawatts, that is up 32% quarter over quarter. In July, the company also reaffirmed its FY09 net sales guidance range of $1.9 billion to $2 billion. First Solar broke the $1 per watt manufacturing cost barrier in 2008. During the second quarter, the cost per watt was down to 87 cents.

The rapidly growing solar panel maker has recently been placed on the S&P 500.It is the first pure-play renewable energy company to be added to the index.

The nascent industry has been hit hard by the turmoil in the credit market as financial players abandoned U.S. solar energy projects last year. The 2008 collapse of top solar financier Lehman Brothers and the freeze-up in the global credit markets drove nearly all banks to halt funding for major new solar projects, forcing the makers of systems that turn sunlight into electricity to slash prices for their products and sending their stocks crashing. Globally, solar industry depends upon government subsidies and incentives. However, recent developments suggest that subsidies will inevitably be reduced or phased out. Generous federal subsidies in key European markets like Germany and Spain ensured high electricity rates for solar energy system. In June, German legislators voted for steeper cuts to subsidized prices for electricity generated from solar panels. Last year the guaranteed price paid for solar-produced electricity was reduced by 5 percent. Some lawmakers had demanded a cut of as much as 30 percent in the subsidized rate. Spain too has taken similar steps. It is important to note that First Solar derives a significant percentage of its revenues from a small core group of customers primarily within Europe, and specifically, Germany. International operations accounted for 95% of net sales in 2008 and 98.8% in 2007. 74% of sales in 2008 resulted from solar module sales in Germany.

However, First Solar has been bagging projects in other important markets, making up for the loss in European markets. The company recently signed a memorandum of understanding with the Chinese government to build a 2 gigawatt solar power plant in Ordos City, Inner Mongolia, China. First Solar announced in August it will build a 550-megawatt solar power generation facility for Southern California Edison, a unit of Edison International by the end of 2015. California has aggressively pursued energy efficiency. Recently, California Governor Arnold Schwarzenegger approved a new subsidy for solar power. California's abundant sunshine, relatively high utility rates and solar subsidies have already made the state one of the world's top solar markets.

In terms of stock performance, First Solar shares are down 4% since the beginning of the year.

Disclosure: Author doesn’t own any of the stocks discussed here.


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